Wow! I was surprised at how well Rick Santorum did in Iowa.
I had predicted that the results would have Romney, Paul, and Gingrich in that order. Somehow Santorum was not even on my radar screen for the top three spots.
I find it interesting that Santorum spent very little money but spent a lot of time touring the state and talking to people live. It goes against conventional wisdom that one must buy slick advertisements, as did Rick Perry. He reportedly spent $4 million in Iowa.
I also find it interesting that a Mormon and a Roman Catholic tied for first. It doesn’t matter to me, but it is interesting that it doesn’t matter to people in Iowa either.
I am glad that I was right about Paul’s placement above Gingrich. I knew that he would do well in Iowa based on polling data and on the “word on the street” that I had access to. He is only a bit behind the top two, and I believe that he will gain more support now, especially if and when others drop out. I was amused that the CNN report that I read this morning did not even mention him.
It’s a funny thing about Ron Paul. The people who are against him make two opposing claims–that he is unelectable because he does not rally appeal to people and that he has rabid support from people that give him high polling numbers. I have even heard staunch conservatives, especially evangelical conservatives, claim that he is now the favorite of the left–because he wants to avoid war and legalize drugs.
In fact, I would think that Paul would make the perfect third-party choice. As a libertarian, he does endorse many favorite views of the left as well as many favorite views of the right.
Oh, and the stuff about his being a racist and a homophobe is nonsense. It is typical political smearing. It is no different from saying that Obama is a secret Muslim.
I am guessing that at least some of Bachman’s, Huntsman’s, and Perry’s supporters will switch to Ron Paul. I particularly think that support in Texas will shift from Perry to Paul.
Of course, I’m still pretty sure that Romney will get the nomination but not defeat Obama.